NFL · Power Rankings
All 32 teams, rated in points
Ranked on results, not opinion. A rating is how many points a team is worth against an average NFL team on a neutral field, so the gap between two ratings, plus two points at home, is the expected margin. Measured from every game back to 1999 and refreshed every morning.
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63.7% of winners picked over 3,284 games in 2014–25, games it never saw while it was tuned, against 66.1% for the closing Vegas line. Same side as the market 85.6% of the time.
The percentages hold up: games called 80–89% were won 84% of the time.
It knows scores, not injuries or a quarterback change, so it trails the market. Weakest in September, when a rating still carries a third of last season.
Climbing and falling
Change in rating points over the last week, with the game that moved them.
The full board
Every team, best to worst. The playoff column comes from the same ratings.
| # | Team | Record | Rating | Move | 7-day | Playoffs |
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Does cold weather hurt dome teams? We checked 144 games since 2002 where a dome team played outdoors at 40 degrees or colder. Once you account for how good both teams were, the dome team did as well as expected: 0.2 points worse, well inside the noise.
Heat, wind and rain don't change who wins either. Weather moves scoring and kicking, which is where the game pages use it, so these ratings leave it out.